CardiffStormChaser

Much of the UK has been relatively snow free this Winter with the only places recieving any severe amounts of the white stuff being in Scotland. Over the last couple of weeks temperatures have been reaching double figures across most of the country which is almost unheard-of for this time of the year, records have almost been broken this week.

Looking at the longer term forecast models there isn't likely to be any snow for at least the start of January with signals of serious snowfall arriving mid to late January.

High pressure systems to the South of the UK have been dominant over the past months which has dragged warmer air from South-West Europe over the UK. This trend looks to continue for the next couple of weeks.

Around mid to late January the models have fairly consistantly pointed to a stream of low pressure systems coming off the Atlantic which will bring colder air from the Arctic across the UK and when this colder air coincides with precipitation we are likely to see snowfall.

As always when forecasting this far out the accuracy is reduced and the models tend to change quite a lot so no firm date ranges or intensities can be specified but the models have been showing this pattern for some time so confidence is relatively high.

We'll be keeping well up-to-date with this snow risk so check back regularly for updates and have a look on Twitter for the most regular forecasts.

December 27 2011 by CardiffStorm